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| 文章编号：1672-3104(2012)05-0160-05 |
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对外直接投资与我国产业结构合理化相互关系的实证研究 |
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田尧，杨坚争 |
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（上海理工大学管理学院，上海，200093） |
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| 摘 要： 利用偏离系数法构建产业结构合理化的量化指标，在构建适当模型的基础上，以1991年-2010年的时间序列数据为样本，运用协整理论和Granger因果关系检验实证分析了对外直接投资与我国产业结构合理化之间的关系，协整分析结果表明对外直接投资与我国产业结构合理化存在着长期稳定的正相关关系，Granger因果关系检验表明对外直接投资是产业结构合理化的Granger原因，而产业结构合理化不是对外直接投资的Granger原因。 |
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| 关键词： 对外直接投资；产业结构合理化；偏离系数法；协整检验；Granger因果检验 |
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An Empirical Analysis of How Chinese Outward DirectInvestment Affects Its Rationalization of Industrial Structure |
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TIAN Yao, YANG Jianzheng |
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（College of Management, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China） |
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| Abstract: The quantitative index of the rationalization of industrial structure is constructed by deviation coefficient method on the bases of proper econometric model and the time series data from 1991 to 2010. The results of co-integration test show that there is a long-term stable and positive correlation between Chinese foreign direct investment (OFDI) and the rationalization of industrial structure. Granger causality test shows that Chinese outward foreign direct investment is the Granger cause of rationalization of industrial structure,but the rationalization of industrial structure is not the Granger cause of OFDI. |
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Key words: outward foreign direct investment; rationalization of industrial structure; deviation coefficient method; Co-integration test; granger causality test |
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