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中南大学学报(社会科学版)
ZHONGNAN DAXUE XUEBAO(SHEHUI KEXUE BAN)

2012年06月第18卷第3期
   
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文章编号:1672-3104(2012)03-0016-05
 
市场可提供就业岗位变化趋势的实证分析
--以辽宁省为例
 
王仲
 
(辽宁人口情报中心,辽宁沈阳,110015)
 
摘  要: 未来市场可提供就业岗位数量是由多个因素决定的,但就目前的经济运行形势来看,国内生产总值增长率起着决定性的作用。就业弹性的变化呈现出一定的波动趋势,与经济增长率变化的关联度减弱,这是由于经济结构的变化及各方面制度更新的结果。通过几方面的理论与实际的趋势预测,可以得知,辽宁省的未来市场可提供的就业岗位从数量上来说是充足的,但是由于就业结构的要求变化,并不能因此就认为就业形势会有明显的好转,相反形势有可能更严峻。
 
关键词: 就业岗位数量;经济增长率;就业弹性系数;就业结构
 
 
An empiracal study of tendancy of employment provided by market
--Taking Liaoning Province as an example
 
WANG Zhong
 
(Liaoning Population Information Center, Shenyang 110015, China)
 
Abstract: Future employment provided by market provide is determined by a number of factors, but the current economic situation and the GDP growth rate play a decisive role. Changes in employment elasticity has a certain fluctuative trends, and changes in the rate of economic growth weaken the association, which is due to changes in the economic structure and other aspects of the system updated results. Based on an analysis of several aspects of theory and practice the trend projections, the author believes that the future employment in Liaoning Province provided by market is sufficient, but because of changes in the structure of employment requirements, we should not neglect the possibility that the employment situation is not obviously improved.
 
Key words: employment post quantity; economic growth rate; employment elasticity coefficient structure of employment
 
 
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