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| 文章编号：1672-3104(2023)03-0102-11 |
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全产业链锂产品贸易格局演化与中国地位 |
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吴巧生1，周娜2，成金华1，毕致玮1 |
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（1. 中国地质大学(武汉)经济管理学院，湖北武汉，430074；
2. 中国地质大学(武汉)公共管理学院，湖北武汉，430074） |
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| 摘 要： 收集整理2010年以来联合国商品贸易数据库发布的含锂产品的贸易数据，采用社会网络分析方法构建了全球锂产品动态贸易网络，使用网络密度与平均度等指标测算全球锂产品贸易动态演化特征，并基于度中心性、加权度中心性和中介中心性指标分析中国在全球锂产品贸易网络中的贸易多样性程度、贸易能力和贸易影响力。研究结果显示：全球锂产品贸易的集中化特征明显，超过80%的锂产品贸易集中发生在全球少数国家之间，且上游产品贸易的集中特征更加明显；主要锂生产国的贸易影响力明显低于锂需求国的贸易影响力，新技术的发展将成为未来全球锂产品贸易格局演化的重要影响因素；中国在全球锂产品贸易中的多元化特征明显，贸易能力较强，且贸易影响力近年来有显著提升。 |
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| 关键词： 全产业链；锂资源；贸易格局；中国地位；社会网络 |
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Evolution of lithium trade patterns in the entire supply chain for lithium products and the status of China |
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WU Qiaosheng1, ZHOU Na2, CHENG Jinhua1, BI Zhiwei1 |
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（1. School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074，China;
2. School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences (Wuhan), Wuhan 430074, China） |
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| Abstract: This paper, by collecting and compiling lithium product trade data published by the United Nations Commodity Trade Database since 2010, constructs dynamic trade network for lithium products in the global supply chain by employing the social network analysis method, calculates the dynamic evolution characteristics of global trade in the entire supply chain of lithium resources by using indicators such as network density and average degree, and analyzes the degree of trade diversity, trade ability, and trade influence of China through the use of the degree centrality index, the weighted degree centrality index, and the intermediary centrality index. Research findings show that the lithium industry chain exhibits a high level of product concentration at all levels, with over 80% of lithium trade concentrated in a few countries worldwide, and with concentration being more obvious in the trade of upstream products. Findings also show that the trade influence of major lithium-producing countries is significantly lower than that of lithium-consuming countries, with new technologies being important drivers in the evolution of global lithium trade pattern in the future, and that China has diverse characteristics in the global lithium trade, with strong trade capacity and increased trade influence in recent years. |
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Key words: entire products chain; lithium resources; trade patterns; China’s status; social network |
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